TPV's CYA's Seahawks Mock Draft
I've spent approximately 50 wasteful hours reading up on this weekend's NFL draft. One thing I've noticed is that most draft pundits release about 50 different predictions for every pick, thus ensuring that they can inflate the accuracy of their predictions.
Well, that's not very ballsy, is it? So here's my 100%-guaranteed-to-be-wrong-but-at-least-I-went-down-swinging predictions for this Saturday and Sunday:
With our first pick, we take Deion Branch.
In the second round, pick #55, the front office will be praying for Zach Miller, TE-Arizona, to fall to them, but will have to go to plan B when the Packers take him. It'd be tempting to reach for a guard here, most likely Josh Beekman from Boston College or Sam Satela from Hawaii, but it's a little too early for either of those guys. Thus, despite signing Patrick Kerney, the Hawks will take the best player available -- in this case, LaMarr Woodley, DE-Michigan. As we learned earlier this week, Ruskell loves big program players, and Woodley was the best defensive player on arguably college's best defense. The big concern on him is size, but unlike many GMs, Ruskell isn't afraid to draft small (see, e.g., Kelly Jennings and Daryl Tapp).
In the third, we'll be praying for Beekman again, but he'll be gone, so the choice will be between our glaring need at TE and our only slightly less glaring need at DT. The obvious pick would be Ben Patrick, TE-Delaware, but once again, we know Ruskell doesn't like small school guys. So with that said -- and after taking a long hard look at Brandon Mebane, DT-Cal -- we'll take a bit of a risk on Quinn Pitcock, an Ohio State DT who put up great numbers but for some reason is slipping on draft boards.
In the fourth, we'll finally have to get serious about drafting a guard, and that's when we get our steal -- Manuel Ramirez from Texas Tech. Ramirez played in an absurdly pass-happy offense, which doesn't really showcase a guard's ability to run block and drive DT's off the line. But the guy is a beast -- he can bench 550 lbs -- and there's a bit of a buzz developing around him.
Shit, it's round five and we still don't have a TE. Not good. Not only that, the only real interesting option left is Kevin Boss from Western Oregon, who's coming off an injury and played at a small school. So we have to play a little defense, and decide to go with value pick Scott Spaeth, TE-Minnesota. It's an uninspiring choice, but then again, our starting TE pre-draft is a 35-year old guy coming off a 19-reception season, so we've got nowhere to go but up.
Round six, it's a complete crapshoot. So let's take a wild stab and go with Jason Snelling, FB-Virginia and Tim Duckworth, G-Auburn.
If round six is a crapshoot, round seven is "guys who will likely be stocking your nearest Costco once training camp ends." So we'll look for special teams help and more uniform sales with William Gay, CB-Louisville.
Well, that's not very ballsy, is it? So here's my 100%-guaranteed-to-be-wrong-but-at-least-I-went-down-swinging predictions for this Saturday and Sunday:
With our first pick, we take Deion Branch.
In the second round, pick #55, the front office will be praying for Zach Miller, TE-Arizona, to fall to them, but will have to go to plan B when the Packers take him. It'd be tempting to reach for a guard here, most likely Josh Beekman from Boston College or Sam Satela from Hawaii, but it's a little too early for either of those guys. Thus, despite signing Patrick Kerney, the Hawks will take the best player available -- in this case, LaMarr Woodley, DE-Michigan. As we learned earlier this week, Ruskell loves big program players, and Woodley was the best defensive player on arguably college's best defense. The big concern on him is size, but unlike many GMs, Ruskell isn't afraid to draft small (see, e.g., Kelly Jennings and Daryl Tapp).
In the third, we'll be praying for Beekman again, but he'll be gone, so the choice will be between our glaring need at TE and our only slightly less glaring need at DT. The obvious pick would be Ben Patrick, TE-Delaware, but once again, we know Ruskell doesn't like small school guys. So with that said -- and after taking a long hard look at Brandon Mebane, DT-Cal -- we'll take a bit of a risk on Quinn Pitcock, an Ohio State DT who put up great numbers but for some reason is slipping on draft boards.
In the fourth, we'll finally have to get serious about drafting a guard, and that's when we get our steal -- Manuel Ramirez from Texas Tech. Ramirez played in an absurdly pass-happy offense, which doesn't really showcase a guard's ability to run block and drive DT's off the line. But the guy is a beast -- he can bench 550 lbs -- and there's a bit of a buzz developing around him.
Shit, it's round five and we still don't have a TE. Not good. Not only that, the only real interesting option left is Kevin Boss from Western Oregon, who's coming off an injury and played at a small school. So we have to play a little defense, and decide to go with value pick Scott Spaeth, TE-Minnesota. It's an uninspiring choice, but then again, our starting TE pre-draft is a 35-year old guy coming off a 19-reception season, so we've got nowhere to go but up.
Round six, it's a complete crapshoot. So let's take a wild stab and go with Jason Snelling, FB-Virginia and Tim Duckworth, G-Auburn.
If round six is a crapshoot, round seven is "guys who will likely be stocking your nearest Costco once training camp ends." So we'll look for special teams help and more uniform sales with William Gay, CB-Louisville.
4 Comments:
Ben,
I follow the Seahawks from down here in Mexico. I enjoy your blog and you've inspired me to start my own. http://alexevazoeinmexico.blogspot.com/
More importantly, I disagree that the Hawks will wait so long to take a CB. Although they're not saying it, they are desperate for depth at that position.
Also, I expect D-Jack to be traded on draft day for a late 2nd round pick; for instance, Kansas City, which needs a veteran receiver.
Anyhow, keep up the good work!
-Alex in Mexico
Well Benji, I think the fact that we signed Brandon Green this morning might hurt the chances of taking a defensive lineman with our first pick. Green's not amazing, obviously, but he gives us some more depth.
Hi Alex, welcome to a bit o' Seahawks discussion! But don't you think we addressed our secondary needs earlier this offseason. We signed two new safeties, and with Trufant and Jennings we've got a lot of talent back there. They may not have the best results next season, but there's something to work with at least....
Brandon Green will have roughly 0% impact on our pick. That doesn't mean we'll take a DE or DT first, but I can't see how Green changes any of our needs.
We need depth at CB. You can't play in the league these days with just two quality guys. And, sorry, but Kelly Herndon is just not cutting it. CB in Round 2, 3 or 4.
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