Monday, November 06, 2006

Election predictions

As you know, I've been out of the country for a week, so unfortunately I missed out on a chance to timely comment on the John Kerry "botched joke" story, or as I like to call it, "the stupidest fucking non-scandal I have ever witnessed in my almost 30 year life" story. But it seems the GOP has picked up a little momentum, particularly among the all-important "likely voter" category (since "likely voter" increasingly means retired religious nutjob).

So here's my one-week-out-of-the-loop-so-probably-worthless predictions:

Split 49-49-1, with that all important "1" being Tailgunner Joe Lieberman. From bastard Democratic stepchild to the most important swing vote since Al Gore on welfare reform -- good times!

Democrats win control with 229 seats. Annoyingly, in my family's moderate home district in Washington state, Republican Dave Reichart defeats what must be one of the weakest Democratic nominees ever, Darcy Burner. Note: I know absolutely nothing about Darcy Burner, other than her name is slightly offputting. But if she can't win a moderate district in Washington state in a year where Dems are threatening a nationwide sweep, she must Suck with a capital S.

No idea. But Arnie is going to win big in California. For some reason, this upsets a lot of people, even though he's (a) made positive improvements on the budget, (b) taken on the state prison workers' union, possibly the most evil union of all time, and (c) generally provided good entertainment for the state. Here's our governor describing state assemblywoman Bonnie Garcia:

"I mean Cuban, Puerto-Rican, they are all very hot. They have the, you know, part of the black blood in them and part of the Latino blood in them that together makes it."

Honest-to-god quote. Even better -- Garcia said she wasn't offended. California politics -- there's nothing more bizarre. (By the way, did you know former Governor "Moonbeam" Jerry Brown is about to become state attorney general? Again, I don't make this stuff up.)


The mysterious "Lil Bro" makes the astute observation that there are, in fact, 100 U.S. Senators. So, er, make it 49 Dems, 50 GOPs, one very loose cannon.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Aren't there 100 people in the Senate? (scratches head)

-Lil Bro

4:38 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

am glad you are safe from the federalistas! There wasn't anything fun to read. yer momther

11:20 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Welcome back, Ben.

As for the election, I think Andrew Sullivan said it best, "this is not an election anymore, it's an intervention."

Assuming the D's take the House, time to address reforming the Democratic party and "seize the middle"....

Prediction: anyone short Diebold Corp. is going to make money.

-- Big Daddy

4:06 AM  
Blogger Johnbai3030 said...

Welcome back Kotter. Love the Ahnold quote.

10:24 AM  

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